Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santa Cruz beat América-MG with a 19.8% chance and Vitória beat Athletico-PR with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 31 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Relegation | 21.2% | 54.5% | +33.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Sudamericana | 84.5% | 58.5% | −26.1 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 58.3% | 35.5% | −22.8 |
| Chapecoense | Sudamericana | 55.8% | 66.7% | +10.9 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 31.5% | 42.3% | +10.8 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 12.3% | 1.7% | −10.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 40.1% | 50.5% | +10.4 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 17.3% | 8.2% | −9.1 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 82.4% | 90.9% | +8.6 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 58.6% | 66.5% | +7.9 |
