Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat Athletico-PR with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 17 (before the first match) against those on October 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 31.0% | 56.5% | +25.5 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 45.9% | 69.9% | +23.9 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 29.5% | 9.9% | −19.6 |
| Chapecoense | Sudamericana | 65.9% | 46.5% | −19.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 52.9% | 69.6% | +16.7 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 49.3% | 64.6% | +15.4 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 43.0% | 54.8% | +11.9 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 16.2% | 5.1% | −11.2 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 21.7% | 10.8% | −11.0 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 78.5% | 89.0% | +10.4 |
