Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Vitória with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Relegation | 55.6% | 29.4% | −26.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 38.7% | 15.9% | −22.8 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 18.4% | 40.2% | +21.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 27.2% | 48.6% | +21.4 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 58.6% | 76.1% | +17.5 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 47.9% | 32.3% | −15.6 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 54.6% | 69.9% | +15.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 23.3% | 10.2% | −13.1 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 52.8% | 40.3% | −12.5 |
| Santos | Libertadores Second Round | 32.4% | 20.0% | −12.4 |
