Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Santos with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 22 (before the first match) against those on August 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 56.4% | 31.3% | −25.1 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 27.8% | 46.3% | +18.5 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 57.3% | 75.5% | +18.2 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 45.9% | 27.7% | −18.2 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 10.0% | 26.2% | +16.2 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 73.1% | 89.0% | +15.9 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 49.2% | 33.4% | −15.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 42.8% | 27.5% | −15.3 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 27.9% | 13.5% | −14.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 12.3% | 26.5% | +14.2 |
