Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Corinthians with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 15 (before the first match) against those on May 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 60.0% | 22.0% | −38.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 40.4% | 13.8% | −26.6 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 12.7% | 34.9% | +22.2 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 57.8% | 77.6% | +19.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 64.0% | 44.7% | −19.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 21.8% | 40.7% | +18.9 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 47.6% | 29.1% | −18.5 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 18.0% | 35.9% | +17.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 51.3% | 68.8% | +17.5 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 38.0% | 20.7% | −17.3 |
