Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat Santos with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 5 (before the first match) against those on September 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 42.9% | 89.4% | +46.5 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 46.7% | 87.0% | +40.3 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 9.3% | 47.3% | +38.0 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 65.3% | 27.5% | −37.8 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 53.8% | 21.5% | −32.3 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 44.3% | 76.2% | +31.9 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 32.5% | 3.3% | −29.2 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 17.1% | 43.7% | +26.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 42.2% | 16.4% | −25.8 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 30.0% | 6.8% | −23.2 |
