Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Criciúma beat Coritiba with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 14 (before the first match) against those on November 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Relegation | 13.1% | 51.0% | +37.9 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 49.5% | 23.3% | −26.2 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 35.9% | 14.2% | −21.8 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 42.3% | 26.1% | −16.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 30.8% | 45.6% | +14.9 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 69.0% | 83.1% | +14.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 16.6% | 3.0% | −13.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 42.5% | 54.2% | +11.7 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 11.7% | 22.4% | +10.7 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 32.0% | 21.3% | −10.6 |
