Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Ponte Preta with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Relegation | 83.1% | 58.9% | −24.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 39.4% | 63.0% | +23.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 74.5% | 88.6% | +14.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 44.9% | 32.2% | −12.7 |
| Vitória | Libertadores Second Round | 5.9% | 17.0% | +11.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 26.5% | 15.7% | −10.8 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 23.7% | 13.4% | −10.3 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 39.6% | 47.4% | +7.8 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 46.3% | 53.8% | +7.5 |
| Goiás | Libertadores Second Round | 33.7% | 37.2% | +3.5 |
