Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Internacional with a 23.7% chance and Vitória beat Fluminense with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 20 (before the first match) against those on October 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 55.3% | 38.7% | −16.6 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 21.5% | 6.5% | −14.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 85.3% | 73.2% | −12.1 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 20.9% | 33.0% | +12.1 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 18.1% | 29.8% | +11.7 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 53.3% | 64.4% | +11.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 17.6% | 8.7% | −8.9 |
| Goiás | Libertadores Second Round | 15.7% | 24.2% | +8.5 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 38.8% | 47.2% | +8.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 57.0% | 51.4% | −5.6 |
