Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Vasco with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 13 (before the first match) against those on October 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Relegation | 46.9% | 63.6% | +16.7 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 23.6% | 7.6% | −16.0 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 39.1% | 23.8% | −15.3 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 40.5% | 55.8% | +15.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 36.5% | 46.4% | +9.9 |
| São Paulo | Relegation | 17.1% | 8.1% | −9.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 19.0% | 10.4% | −8.6 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 49.0% | 57.1% | +8.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 91.4% | 84.6% | −6.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 21.3% | 28.0% | +6.6 |
