Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Cruzeiro with a 24.8% chance, Sport beat Vasco with a 16.4% chance, and Bahia beat Portuguesa with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 31 (before the first match) against those on November 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 18.7% | 33.4% | +14.7 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 79.6% | 66.6% | −13.0 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 19.9% | 8.7% | −11.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 27.8% | 38.8% | +11.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 72.1% | 61.2% | −10.9 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 85.6% | 96.0% | +10.4 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 2.9% | 12.8% | +9.9 |
| Sport | Relegation | 90.2% | 80.7% | −9.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 87.0% | 92.9% | +5.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 9.2% | 5.4% | −3.8 |
