Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Fluminense with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 20 (before the first match) against those on November 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 61.2% | 14.8% | −46.4 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores Second Round | 37.4% | 74.5% | +37.0 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 52.2% | 81.5% | +29.3 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores Second Round | 45.9% | 18.5% | −27.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 38.4% | 19.7% | −18.6 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 70.5% | 88.8% | +18.3 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores Second Round | 10.3% | 28.3% | +18.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 29.2% | 13.0% | −16.2 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 17.7% | 5.9% | −11.7 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 78.6% | 88.6% | +10.0 |
