Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Ceará beat Grêmio with a 20.6% chance and Internacional beat Botafogo with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 17 (before the first match) against those on November 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 58.4% | 96.0% | +37.6 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 18.4% | 55.0% | +36.5 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores Second Round | 35.2% | 4.0% | −31.2 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 48.8% | 78.6% | +29.9 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 58.5% | 29.0% | −29.5 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 25.5% | 52.2% | +26.7 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 28.0% | 1.5% | −26.5 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 68.0% | 43.2% | −24.7 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 94.3% | 70.5% | −23.8 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 41.1% | 17.7% | −23.5 |
