Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Santos with a 21.1% chance and Vasco beat Cruzeiro with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 22 (before the first match) against those on September 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Libertadores | 61.3% | 76.5% | +15.3 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 33.8% | 19.5% | −14.3 |
| Vasco | Champion | 22.1% | 35.6% | +13.4 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 17.2% | 28.5% | +11.3 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 30.2% | 20.1% | −10.1 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 68.0% | 58.0% | −10.0 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 18.2% | 27.4% | +9.2 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 59.0% | 67.0% | +8.0 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 13.5% | 6.2% | −7.3 |
| Vasco | Libertadores Second Round | 24.1% | 17.1% | −7.0 |
