Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Atletico-MG with a 21.5% chance and Cruzeiro beat Santos with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 29 (before the first match) against those on December 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 9.6% | 100% | +90.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores Second Round | 11.9% | 100% | +88.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 85.9% | 0% | −85.9 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 30.5% | 100% | +69.5 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 46.6% | 0% | −46.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 46.2% | 0% | −46.1 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores Second Round | 44.2% | 0% | −44.2 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 61.4% | 100% | +38.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 65.8% | 100% | +34.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 29.8% | 0% | −29.7 |
