Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Náutico beat Corinthians with a 20.0% chance and Fluminense beat Sport with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 15 (before the first match) against those on November 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Libertadores | 21.5% | 67.3% | +45.8 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 50.2% | 6.2% | −44.0 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 50.6% | 15.3% | −35.3 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 61.4% | 89.5% | +28.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 51.9% | 77.3% | +25.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 24.8% | 6.9% | −17.9 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 75.6% | 58.1% | −17.6 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 59.8% | 75.0% | +15.2 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 59.6% | 46.1% | −13.5 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Sudamericana | 22.1% | 9.8% | −12.3 |
