Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Botafogo with a 19.4% chance and Vasco beat Coritiba with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 23 (before the first match) against those on November 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 6.3% | 40.3% | +34.0 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 52.8% | 76.0% | +23.1 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 47.2% | 24.0% | −23.1 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 84.5% | 62.4% | −22.1 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 4.3% | 25.6% | +21.3 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 95.7% | 74.4% | −21.3 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 25.2% | 9.4% | −15.9 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 74.8% | 90.6% | +15.9 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 86.2% | 72.6% | −13.6 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 46.1% | 57.9% | +11.8 |
