Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Internacional with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 16 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Champion | 66.6% | 95.7% | +29.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 43.5% | 16.6% | −26.9 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 27.2% | 52.8% | +25.7 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 72.9% | 47.2% | −25.7 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 29.2% | 54.5% | +25.2 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 27.6% | 4.3% | −23.3 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 64.3% | 86.2% | +21.9 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 20.5% | 0.2% | −20.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 65.5% | 83.5% | +18.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 34.6% | 16.5% | −18.1 |
