Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Botafogo with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 11 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 69.9% | 52.2% | −17.6 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 35.8% | 52.3% | +16.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 11.8% | 28.2% | +16.4 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 63.3% | 47.7% | −15.6 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 69.1% | 83.5% | +14.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 72.8% | 86.8% | +14.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 27.2% | 13.3% | −14.0 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 46.9% | 34.3% | −12.6 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 16.8% | 6.2% | −10.6 |
| Santos | Relegation | 14.4% | 4.3% | −10.1 |
