Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Athletico-PR with a 24.7% chance and Atletico-MG beat Flamengo with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Relegation | 62.0% | 37.6% | −24.4 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 58.3% | 35.8% | −22.5 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 41.4% | 63.3% | +21.9 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 49.4% | 66.0% | +16.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 62.0% | 72.8% | +10.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 37.7% | 27.2% | −10.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 61.0% | 71.3% | +10.4 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 36.7% | 46.9% | +10.2 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 38.6% | 28.6% | −10.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 7.2% | 16.6% | +9.4 |
