Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Goiás with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 19 (before the first match) against those on October 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Relegation | 83.5% | 67.3% | −16.2 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 44.1% | 59.4% | +15.3 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 34.3% | 48.2% | +13.9 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 52.3% | 65.9% | +13.6 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 47.7% | 34.1% | −13.6 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 18.3% | 31.8% | +13.5 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 81.7% | 68.2% | −13.5 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 38.2% | 25.2% | −13.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 28.2% | 16.5% | −11.7 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 82.4% | 93.4% | +11.0 |
