Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Vasco with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 28 (before the first match) against those on October 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 37.7% | 14.2% | −23.5 |
| Santos | Relegation | 27.5% | 12.3% | −15.2 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 22.9% | 10.6% | −12.3 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 60.2% | 72.4% | +12.3 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 65.6% | 76.5% | +10.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 50.5% | 61.0% | +10.5 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 48.3% | 58.3% | +10.0 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 69.8% | 79.1% | +9.3 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 47.9% | 38.6% | −9.3 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 67.9% | 76.9% | +9.0 |
