Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Grêmio with a 19.1% chance, Palmeiras beat Cruzeiro with a 22.6% chance, Náutico beat Vasco with a 21.4% chance, and Internacional beat Botafogo with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 6 (before the first match) against those on September 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náutico | Relegation | 46.5% | 28.0% | −18.5 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 62.0% | 80.0% | +18.0 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 37.1% | 19.7% | −17.4 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 31.0% | 48.1% | +17.2 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 9.2% | 25.0% | +15.9 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 61.5% | 46.8% | −14.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 68.3% | 54.1% | −14.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 31.2% | 44.3% | +13.1 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 37.6% | 50.5% | +12.9 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 63.1% | 50.3% | −12.7 |
