Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Palmeiras with a 19.7% chance and Botafogo beat Coritiba with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 31 (before the first match) against those on September 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 79.4% | 62.0% | −17.4 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 20.4% | 37.1% | +16.7 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 62.1% | 46.5% | −15.6 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 46.5% | 61.5% | +15.0 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 29.6% | 15.4% | −14.2 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 51.4% | 37.6% | −13.7 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 55.4% | 68.8% | +13.4 |
| Santos | Relegation | 40.5% | 27.5% | −13.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 55.2% | 68.3% | +13.1 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 28.4% | 40.7% | +12.2 |
