Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Fluminense with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 14 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 80.3% | 63.6% | −16.7 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 46.8% | 31.1% | −15.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 54.1% | 68.7% | +14.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 44.3% | 30.7% | −13.6 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 50.5% | 63.6% | +13.1 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 49.0% | 60.6% | +11.6 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 50.3% | 42.4% | −7.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 13.5% | 5.7% | −7.8 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 31.9% | 39.7% | +7.8 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 10.6% | 17.7% | +7.1 |
