Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Flamengo with a 23.2% chance and Coritiba beat Santos with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 31 (before the first match) against those on August 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 55.3% | 36.7% | −18.6 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 42.4% | 24.9% | −17.5 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 38.9% | 51.8% | +12.9 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 37.9% | 25.6% | −12.3 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 25.7% | 15.0% | −10.7 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 33.3% | 43.1% | +9.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 23.7% | 14.0% | −9.7 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 48.4% | 58.1% | +9.7 |
| Santos | Relegation | 23.1% | 32.4% | +9.3 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 45.2% | 54.2% | +8.9 |
