Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Internacional with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 27 (before the first match) against those on July 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 55.4% | 39.6% | −15.7 |
| Santos | Relegation | 38.0% | 23.1% | −14.9 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 30.4% | 19.7% | −10.7 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 16.1% | 25.7% | +9.6 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 48.6% | 58.2% | +9.6 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 25.9% | 35.3% | +9.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 70.3% | 79.4% | +9.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 18.7% | 10.0% | −8.7 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 64.0% | 55.3% | −8.7 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 34.3% | 42.4% | +8.2 |
