Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Vasco with a 24.4% chance and Atletico-MG beat Santos with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 3 (before the first match) against those on August 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 52.5% | 40.3% | −12.2 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 66.1% | 54.3% | −11.9 |
| Santos | Relegation | 32.4% | 43.8% | +11.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 43.3% | 32.5% | −10.8 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 36.7% | 26.8% | −9.9 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 22.8% | 32.4% | +9.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 31.7% | 41.1% | +9.4 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 24.9% | 15.8% | −9.1 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 41.6% | 50.6% | +9.0 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 16.3% | 25.4% | +9.0 |
