Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Goiás with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 23 (before the first match) against those on July 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 40.7% | 55.1% | +14.4 |
| Santos | Relegation | 50.9% | 38.0% | −12.9 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 37.6% | 48.6% | +11.0 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 32.9% | 42.5% | +9.5 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 80.0% | 70.7% | −9.3 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 25.2% | 34.3% | +9.1 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 46.5% | 55.4% | +8.9 |
| Sport | Relegation | 17.4% | 8.9% | −8.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 43.1% | 51.5% | +8.3 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 39.0% | 31.0% | −8.0 |
