Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Cruzeiro with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 16 (before the first match) against those on July 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 49.1% | 25.2% | −24.0 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 49.5% | 25.8% | −23.7 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 51.4% | 74.9% | +23.5 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 17.6% | 39.0% | +21.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 61.8% | 40.7% | −21.1 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 10.9% | 31.2% | +20.3 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 39.7% | 22.4% | −17.3 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 87.7% | 70.5% | −17.2 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 11.3% | 26.1% | +14.8 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 12.2% | 26.3% | +14.1 |
