Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Flamengo with a 17.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 17 (before the first match) against those on July 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 33.0% | 45.9% | +12.9 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 37.2% | 25.9% | −11.2 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 16.2% | 27.0% | +10.8 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 65.2% | 75.2% | +10.0 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 48.0% | 38.4% | −9.6 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 81.6% | 72.2% | −9.3 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 19.3% | 28.5% | +9.1 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 83.7% | 75.1% | −8.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 33.1% | 24.9% | −8.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 44.5% | 52.6% | +8.1 |
