Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Santos with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 17 (before the first match) against those on August 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Libertadores | 10.9% | 22.1% | +11.3 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 60.4% | 71.6% | +11.2 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 78.0% | 67.2% | −10.8 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 56.5% | 45.7% | −10.7 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 32.3% | 42.6% | +10.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 44.5% | 36.0% | −8.5 |
| Santos | Champion | 23.1% | 14.9% | −8.1 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 18.4% | 26.4% | +8.0 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 16.3% | 24.2% | +7.8 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 30.5% | 22.7% | −7.8 |
