Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Corinthians with a 24.0% chance, Palmeiras beat Botafogo with a 21.7% chance, and Fluminense beat Cruzeiro with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 6 (before the first match) against those on August 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 59.6% | 44.9% | −14.7 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 45.9% | 59.9% | +14.0 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 29.4% | 15.5% | −14.0 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 30.6% | 18.2% | −12.4 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 25.4% | 36.7% | +11.3 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 50.7% | 61.8% | +11.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 54.7% | 65.1% | +10.4 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 22.0% | 32.0% | +10.1 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 21.1% | 30.3% | +9.2 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 19.1% | 10.3% | −8.8 |
