Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 5 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ponte Preta beat Cruzeiro with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 29 (before the first match) against those on June 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Relegation | 29.0% | 16.1% | −12.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 28.1% | 39.4% | +11.3 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 26.0% | 15.9% | −10.1 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 32.9% | 42.5% | +9.7 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 54.4% | 64.1% | +9.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 28.4% | 19.9% | −8.6 |
| Juventude | Libertadores | 55.4% | 47.4% | −8.0 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 28.4% | 36.3% | +7.9 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 18.2% | 26.0% | +7.8 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 22.0% | 29.5% | +7.5 |
