Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 4 home wins, 7 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Athletico-PR with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 22 (before the first match) against those on April 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 21.5% | 34.7% | +13.2 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 23.1% | 11.3% | −11.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 13.0% | 21.5% | +8.5 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 23.9% | 15.6% | −8.3 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 14.0% | 21.9% | +7.9 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 28.6% | 35.6% | +7.0 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 64.7% | 71.5% | +6.8 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 6.2% | 12.5% | +6.3 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 19.9% | 13.7% | −6.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 19.9% | 14.1% | −5.8 |
