Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 7 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Criciúma beat Vasco with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 20 (before the first match) against those on April 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 38.3% | 25.8% | −12.6 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 53.1% | 64.7% | +11.6 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 21.2% | 31.4% | +10.2 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 37.0% | 28.6% | −8.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 26.6% | 19.8% | −6.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 32.8% | 39.4% | +6.6 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 13.5% | 7.9% | −5.6 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 22.1% | 27.4% | +5.3 |
| Criciúma | Libertadores | 11.7% | 16.9% | +5.2 |
| Criciúma | Sudamericana | 20.0% | 25.2% | +5.2 |
