Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 7 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Santos with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 4 (before the first match) against those on May 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 62.7% | 74.2% | +11.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 19.7% | 31.1% | +11.4 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 55.5% | 44.6% | −10.8 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 24.5% | 14.7% | −9.8 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 35.5% | 26.0% | −9.6 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 23.5% | 31.6% | +8.1 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 30.5% | 37.9% | +7.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 26.5% | 19.6% | −6.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 31.5% | 25.1% | −6.4 |
| Santos | Champion | 16.0% | 9.9% | −6.1 |
