Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 7 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Internacional with a 23.5% chance and Goiás beat Juventude with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on August 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Relegation | 26.7% | 39.7% | +12.9 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 29.9% | 42.7% | +12.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 38.5% | 27.1% | −11.4 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 31.6% | 20.4% | −11.2 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 29.2% | 18.9% | −10.2 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 15.0% | 24.2% | +9.2 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 49.7% | 58.0% | +8.3 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 36.5% | 44.8% | +8.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 30.1% | 38.0% | +7.8 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 26.8% | 34.3% | +7.5 |
