Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 7 away wins. 5 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Fluminense with a 19.2% chance, Guarani beat Ponte Preta with a 23.8% chance, São Paulo beat Corinthians with a 22.8% chance, São Caetano beat Santos with a 23.4% chance, and Flamengo beat Vasco with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 8 (before the first match) against those on June 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 42.5% | 54.9% | +12.4 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 32.9% | 44.9% | +12.0 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 45.1% | 33.7% | −11.3 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 35.4% | 45.9% | +10.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 45.8% | 35.4% | −10.5 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 66.0% | 55.5% | −10.4 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 33.1% | 42.8% | +9.8 |
| Guarani | Sudamericana | 24.9% | 32.1% | +7.2 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 21.9% | 14.7% | −7.1 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 13.1% | 20.0% | +6.8 |
