Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Criciúma beat Goiás with a 19.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 18 (before the first match) against those on May 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Relegation | 32.1% | 18.3% | −13.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 41.7% | 51.3% | +9.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 46.5% | 55.0% | +8.5 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 20.3% | 28.7% | +8.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 73.0% | 64.8% | −8.2 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 21.2% | 29.1% | +8.0 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 23.5% | 15.7% | −7.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 29.0% | 21.4% | −7.6 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 38.2% | 45.7% | +7.6 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 25.3% | 18.0% | −7.3 |
