Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 6 (before the first match) against those on May 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Conference League | 20.5% | 46.1% | +25.6 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 14.9% | 2.7% | −12.2 |
| Newcastle | Conference League | 58.4% | 49.8% | −8.6 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 46.9% | 54.3% | +7.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 53.1% | 45.7% | −7.3 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 5.2% | <0.1% | −5.2 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 5.6% | 0.6% | −4.9 |
| Tottenham | Conference League | 6.2% | 1.4% | −4.8 |
| Luton Town | Relegation | 96.2% | >99.9% | +3.8 |
