Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Manchester United with a 15.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 20 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Europa League | 34.4% | 89.8% | +55.3 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 48.5% | 0.1% | −48.4 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 53.1% | 94.2% | +41.1 |
| Newcastle | Conference League | 11.9% | 42.5% | +30.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 36.2% | 5.8% | −30.4 |
| Luton Town | Relegation | 51.9% | 81.2% | +29.3 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 27.4% | 53.9% | +26.5 |
| Everton | Relegation | 23.2% | 0% | −23.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 23.5% | 46.0% | +22.5 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 23.1% | 1.5% | −21.6 |
