Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 10 (before the first match) against those on August 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
NewcastleChampions League32.2%43.6%+11.4
Aston VillaChampions League18.8%9.4%−9.5
Manchester CityChampions League63.9%73.3%+9.4
Brighton & Hove AlbionChampions League25.7%34.9%+9.2
BurnleyRelegation39.6%47.9%+8.3
Luton TownRelegation39.6%46.8%+7.2
Manchester CityChampion22.2%28.8%+6.6
FulhamRelegation13.9%8.1%−5.9
Crystal PalaceRelegation14.0%8.2%−5.8
LiverpoolChampions League41.0%35.2%−5.8
Home 10.1%
Draw 20.5%
Away 69.4%
Home 74.7%
Draw 19.4%
Away 5.8%
Home 33.0%
Draw 27.0%
Away 40.0%
Home 72.1%
Draw 20.0%
Away 8.0%
Home 32.1%
Draw 26.8%
Away 41.2%
Home 30.0%
Draw 26.1%
Away 43.9%
Home 54.3%
Draw 23.7%
Away 21.9%
Home 35.5%
Draw 27.8%
Away 36.7%
Home 35.1%
Draw 27.7%
Away 37.2%
Home 72.1%
Draw 20.0%
Away 7.9%