Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat Everton with a 9.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 18 (before the first match) against those on October 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | Relegation | 47.1% | 30.0% | −17.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 47.2% | 32.1% | −15.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 76.2% | 86.3% | +10.1 |
| Everton | Champions League | 19.4% | 9.8% | −9.5 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 78.0% | 86.7% | +8.8 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 21.7% | 28.1% | +6.4 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 24.0% | 30.3% | +6.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 10.3% | 16.4% | +6.1 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 77.0% | 83.0% | +5.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 21.6% | 16.0% | −5.6 |
