Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brentford beat West Ham with a 16.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 27 (before the first match) against those on October 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 23.5% | 33.0% | +9.5 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 32.3% | 23.8% | −8.5 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 24.1% | 15.8% | −8.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 72.7% | 80.0% | +7.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 17.3% | 23.8% | +6.4 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 31.1% | 36.5% | +5.4 |
| Watford | Relegation | 32.8% | 37.5% | +4.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 12.1% | 16.5% | +4.5 |
| Brentford | Relegation | 10.6% | 6.1% | −4.5 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 12.0% | 7.8% | −4.1 |
