Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leeds United beat Brentford with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 19 (before the first match) against those on May 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | Relegation | 23.1% | 100% | +76.9 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 76.9% | 0% | −76.9 |
| West Ham | Conference League | 23.9% | 0% | −23.8 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 76.2% | 100% | +23.8 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 79.1% | 100% | +21.0 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 21.0% | 0% | −20.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 92.3% | 100% | +7.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 92.3% | 100% | +7.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 7.7% | 0% | −7.7 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 7.7% | 0% | −7.7 |
