Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat West Ham with a 18.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 19 (before the first match) against those on April 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Relegation | 72.2% | 5.6% | −66.7 |
| Watford | Relegation | 41.3% | 84.4% | +43.1 |
| Everton | Relegation | 5.2% | 40.5% | +35.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 17.8% | 44.0% | +26.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 30.7% | 8.5% | −22.2 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 15.2% | 35.8% | +20.6 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 16.6% | 33.6% | +17.0 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 19.7% | 3.1% | −16.5 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 84.9% | 99.5% | +14.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 13.8% | 0.1% | −13.7 |
