Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 6 (before the first match) against those on March 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Relegation | 55.9% | 2.1% | −53.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 13.2% | 54.9% | +41.7 |
| Watford | Relegation | 42.7% | 73.9% | +31.2 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 37.7% | 8.1% | −29.6 |
| Everton | Relegation | 6.0% | 32.6% | +26.7 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 24.7% | 0.6% | −24.0 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 17.4% | 40.0% | +22.6 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 77.9% | 99.1% | +21.3 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 40.2% | 59.5% | +19.3 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 14.9% | 0.1% | −14.8 |