Round 16

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on December 6 (before the first match) against those on March 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
NewcastleRelegation55.9%2.1%−53.8
ArsenalChampions League13.2%54.9%+41.7
WatfordRelegation42.7%73.9%+31.2
West HamChampions League37.7%8.1%−29.6
EvertonRelegation6.0%32.6%+26.7
ChelseaChampion24.7%0.6%−24.0
Leeds UnitedRelegation17.4%40.0%+22.6
Norwich CityRelegation77.9%99.1%+21.3
Manchester CityChampion40.2%59.5%+19.3
SouthamptonRelegation14.9%0.1%−14.8
Home 53.3%
Draw 23.6%
Away 23.0%
Home 68.9%
Draw 18.8%
Away 12.3%
Home 60.3%
Draw 21.4%
Away 18.3%
Home 72.7%
Draw 17.7%
Away 9.6%
Home 71.6%
Draw 18.0%
Away 10.4%
Home 15.0%
Draw 20.0%
Away 64.9%
Home 27.5%
Draw 25.9%
Away 46.6%
Home 63.5%
Draw 20.5%
Away 16.1%
Home 42.3%
Draw 27.4%
Away 30.3%
Home 33.3%
Draw 29.0%
Away 37.7%