Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brentford beat Arsenal with a 15.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 12 (before the first match) against those on August 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | Relegation | 42.7% | 24.4% | −18.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 35.1% | 18.7% | −16.4 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 59.4% | 45.1% | −14.3 |
| Watford | Relegation | 42.6% | 29.4% | −13.2 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 42.8% | 54.8% | +12.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 40.2% | 51.6% | +11.4 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 43.3% | 54.2% | +10.9 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 29.8% | 19.2% | −10.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 53.6% | 64.0% | +10.5 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 20.7% | 10.6% | −10.1 |
