Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Arsenal with a 24.7% chance and Burnley beat Wolverhampton with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 3 (before the first match) against those on April 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | Relegation | 59.5% | 96.0% | +36.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 40.8% | 14.4% | −26.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 40.1% | 64.4% | +24.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 80.8% | >99.9% | +19.2 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 72.2% | 91.3% | +19.2 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 19.3% | 1.0% | −18.3 |
| Everton | Champions League | 19.8% | 4.5% | −15.3 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 14.1% | 1.9% | −12.2 |
| Liverpool | Conference League | 15.0% | 26.4% | +11.4 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 12.1% | 21.5% | +9.4 |
